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Be on the wave or under it
The News – 02/25/03
In this Issue:
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Recommended Reading
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I realize this is the only
newsletter you’ll ever need, but if you want more in-depth
detail, check out:
Stan Hustad’s
The Coaching Connection
Management Signature's
The Express Read
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Yet Another Wireless Standard
Apparently the Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, and Ultrawideband wireless standards
aren’t enough. Not only do we need to deal with Philips and Sony’s
short-range Near
Field Communication (NFC) standard, but a group improbably
named the ZigBee Alliance is working to create a very low-cost,
very low power consumption, two-way, wireless communications standard
focused on automation and control rather than data communications.
They envision this solution being embedded in consumer electronics,
home and building automation, industrial controls, PC peripherals,
medical sensor applications, toys and games. The group met last
week in an “open house” to discuss their plans and brief the media
and potential partners.
ZigBee devices are expected to be able to transmit 30-75 meters,
depending on the RF environment, and will operate in the unlicensed
RF bands worldwide (2.4GHz global, 915MHz Americas or 868MHz Europe).
Use of the 2.4GHz band puts ZigBee square in the middle of the
Wi-Fi or 802.11b standard bandwidth. Since your microwave oven
and possibly your cordless phone operate in that range, it could
get a bit crowded.
The Alliance includes Honeywell, Invensys, Mitsubishi Electric,
Motorola and Philips Electronics. The ZigBee specification aims
to provide low-cost, low-power home automation devices that will
last several years on two AA alkaline batteries. Proposed ZigBee
networks would allow homeowners to wirelessly control everything
from lighting fixtures to home security systems. The group is
planning on having the specification ready by early 2004, with
the first devices available by mid-2004.
ZigBee arose out of the ashes of the failed HomeRF standard,
whose butt Wi-Fi kicked thoroughly. The ZigBee specification is
a combination of HomeRF Lite and the 802.15.4
specification. It is capable of connecting 255 devices and supports
data transmission rates of up to 250Kbs can be achieved at 2.4GHz
(10 channels), up to 40Kbs at 915Mhz (6 channels) and up to 20Kbs
at 868Mhz (1 channel) at a range of up to 30 meters. Although
ZigBee's is slower than 802.11b and Bluetooth, it consumes significantly
less power.
I have to ask, however, how important low power consumption is
likely to be in consumer devices placed in the home, in close
proximity to electrical outlets. I guess these industry giants
see something I don’t, because it really doesn’t seem necessary
to have a separate standard for low-power home automation wireless
communications.
According to ZigBee, possible applications for the technology
include wireless home security, remote thermostats for air conditioners,
remote lighting, drape controllers, call buttons for elderly and
disabled, universal remote controllers for TV and radio, wireless
keyboards, mouse and game pads, wireless smoke and carbon monoxide
detectors, and industrial and building automation and control.
Pretty much all of these devices live near electrical outlets.
So what am I missing, here? I’d love to hear your thoughts.
C|Net
Briefly Noted
- Shameless Self-Promotion Dept.:
This issue features the debut of SNS Begware, an opportunity
for you, gentle reader, to express your appreciation by tipping
your server via PayPal. See the sidebar for more info.
I’ve reworked the Opinion
section, adding a Prediction
Tracking page to track the various predictions I’ve made,
and also added a Stuff
I Said page with some quotes of things I said a decade or
so ago on the Net.
I repurposed and adapted an article about the wireless service
known as Short Messaging Service (SMS) for the Reside newsletter.
It’s entitled, Wherever
they go, there you are and it points out how marketers
can use – carefully – this new way to contact their customers.
I’m featured in Manyworlds’ Thought
Leader Showcase, which lists a few of the white papers I’ve
done. I’ve also added their fancy icon to the StratVantage site.
Finally, the CTOMentor wireless white paper, You Can Take
It with You: Business Applications of Personal Wireless Devices,
is available at ITPapers.
- Michelin to Include RFID in Every Tire:
I mentioned in the last
SNS that RFID (Radio Frequency Identification) was starting
to take off. Well, now tire manufacturer Michelin has
announced
it is in trials that embed RFID transponders into every tire
to enable them to be tracked electronically. After an 18-month
test, Michelin will begin offering automakers the option of
purchasing tires with embedded transponders.
The RFID microchip stores the tire's unique ID, which can be
associated with the vehicle identification number, and thus
might be useful to law enforcement investigating tire/wheel
theft. Of course, there are various other privacy-invading uses
for such technology, including knowing who is passing by RFID-enabled
checkpoints.
Michelin is testing the tire in taxi and rental car fleets in
several areas of the country. The transponders currently cost
several dollars, but the price will drop with volume. Michelin
manufactures more than 800,000 tires a day.
One reason Michelin is interested in RFID technology is the
TREAD (Transportation, Recall, Enhancement, Accountability and
Documentation – don’t you just love lawmakers’ cute acronyms?)
Act Congress passed in the wake of the Firestone/Ford Explorer
debacle. The act requires carmakers to track tires from the
2004 model year on, so they can be recalled if there's a problem.
Michelin could have the RFID technology for the 2005 model year.
Although other tire manufacturers are planning on implementing
RFID, Michelin claims to be the first to meet the Automotive
Industry Action Group's B-11 standard for North America, which
calls for a read distance of 24 inches.
As one wag on techie bulletin board Slashdot said,
“Let the privacy invasion begin!”
RFID
Journal
- Nigerian Scam Ends in Tragedy: As mentioned
in a previous
SNS, the various “help us get money out of Nigeria by giving
us some of yours” – known to law enforcement as Nigerian 419 fraud – have been
rising in popularity of late. Well, unfortunately, one such
fraud attempt has ended badly for an innocent bystander. A retired
72-year old Czech man has been charged with the murder of the
Nigerian Consul in Prague, Michael Lekara Wayid, after demanding
reparations from the African state. If convicted the unnamed
Czech could face up to 15 years in prison. How sad!
Silicon.com
- Xbox Loses Bigtime: The only good
thing about Microsoft’s attempts to extend its desktop monopoly
to other computing areas is that it is not always successful,
often because it underestimates how hard it is to operate in
areas in which it is not the 600 pound gorilla. Witness the
stunning losses of its Home and Entertainment division: $348
million in the last quarter of 2002. The software giant loses
roughly $100 on the sale of every Xbox.
Don’t worry about the company’s overall health, however: Its
Information Worker division, which produces the Microsoft Office
suite of products, had a record quarter – $1.88 billion in
profit on revenue of $2.41 billion – and the Windows division
posted $1.97 billion in profit on revenue of $2.11 billion.
Check out those profit margins – 78 percent and 93 percent!
That’s what’s so scary. Microsoft can bankroll huge losses in
whatever industry they try to embrace and extend to for an indefinite
amount of time. The company expects the entire first-generation
Xbox to never make a dime.
Gamers.com
- Making Search Local:
Canadian company Metamend has introduced new technology
that will enable businesses store data in a Web site tag that
contains Geographic Information Systems (GIS) data such as the
location's latitude and longitude. Search engines will then
be able to use this data on Web sites’ physical locations to
enable geographically-specific searches. This development will
be a great boon to search companies like FAST Search & Transfer
and Google
that are working with wireless phone companies to power mobile
search that can deliver locally targeted results. I’ve been
tracking this location-based application movement in the TrendSpot since May
2000.
C|Net
- Come Alive! You’re in the Microsoft
Net Generation: Or maybe not. Microsoft
is releasing its Threedegrees service,
which is targeted at teenagers and young adults who grew up
using the Internet. The software creates a peer-to-peer social
group of up to 10 people who can participate in the same instant
messaging session, share photos, listen to music and meet friends.
The software monopoly also plans to release the Windows Peer-to-Peer
Update for Windows XP.
The Threedegrees software is a product of Microsoft's 18-month-old
NetGen division, a team of 12 recent college graduates which
operates on a campus in downtown Seattle, separate from Microsoft's
main operations in Redmond. The group’s charter is to develop
products aimed at the “Net generation” – young people 13 to
24.
Jupiter Research analyst Michael Gartenberg said, “If you look
at Threedegrees closely, there are broader implications for
this product for Microsoft, (such as) driving IM use for corporate
purposes. Take the Threedegrees functionality and apply it to
corporate work groups and you have the extension from communication
to collaboration that goes beyond IM. If you look at the shared-picture
feature and imagine that was a PowerPoint file, you get the
idea of where Microsoft could go with this.”
OK, I’m a bit confused. Isn’t Microsoft’s current .NET ad campaign
based on one
degree of separation? So is Threedegrees three times worse
than .NET? And haven’t I heard their little Threedegrees slogan,
“For the People, by the People” somewhere before?
C|Net
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Alert SNS Reader Hall of Fame
About The Author
Announcing CTOMentor,
a New Service from StratVantage
Can’t Get Enough of ME?
In the unlikely event
that you want more of my opinions, I’ve started a Weblog. It’s the fashionable
thing for pundits to do, and I’m doing it too. A Weblog is a datestamped
collection of somewhat random thoughts and ideas assembled on a Web
page. If you’d like to subject the world to your thoughts, as I do,
you can create your own Weblog. You need to have a Web site that allows
you FTP access, and the free software from www.blogger.com.
This allows you to right click on a Web page and append your pithy thoughts
to your Weblog.
I’ve dubbed my Weblog
entries “Stratlets”, and they are available at www.stratvantage.com/stratlets/.
Let me know what you think.
Also check out the TrendSpot for ranking of
the latest emerging trends.
In Memoriam
Gerald
M. Ellsworth
March
14, 1928 - July 5, 2003
In Memoriam
Jane C. Ellsworth
July
20, 1928 - July 20, 2003
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