Be on the wave or under it
The News – 09/29/00
Better, Cheaper Bandwidth . . .
. . . is just around
the corner. According to Upside, "By the end of this year,
Nortel Networks Corp. (NT) plans to begin selling a system that
will send a staggering 1.6 trillion bits per second through a
single fiber. That's equivalent to more than 20 million simultaneous
phone calls." What will the world look like when bandwidth
cost approaches zero? We may find out a good deal sooner than
At the Delphi Corporate
Portals conference this week, Wired editor Kevin Kelly related
a story of an early 20th century Sears product: the home motor.
This portable but expensive device could power all manner of labor
saving devices. Kelly asserted that people of that time couldn't
imagine what was to come: motors disappeared into the fabric of
the home support systems. It's certainly true. Rather than a single,
expensive, valuable resource that needs to be conserved and maximized,
domestic motors today are in everything and we never think about
them. Try taking an inventory of all the motors in your house.
Did you remember to count any mechanical clocks?
Kelly's point is
that computing will disappear into the background just as so many
other technologies have. I believe communications bandwidth will
go the same way. Remember when you hesitated to make a long distance
call because it was so expensive? (If you don't, you were probably
born later than the 70s.) Now you can call for free on your wireless
phone or over the Internet. Kelly described the cost curve that
modern technology has created: one that approaches zero. A correlary
to his thinking is my assertion that, "On the Internet, everything
devolves to free." (See my presentation from the conference
for more on that subject, here.
Email me if you want the PowerPoint file.
So, what will you
do with unlimited bandwidth?
- Shameless Self-Promotion Dept.: StratVantage
has launched a new service, CTOMentor™, designed to allow Chief
Technology Officers and other technical leaders to get rid of
the Guilt Stack, that pile of magazines you’ll get around to
CTOMentor is a subscription advisory service tailored to customers’
industry and personal information needs. Four times a year CTOMentor
provides a four-hour briefing for subscribers and their staffs
on the most important emerging technology trends that could
affect their businesses. As part of the service, subscribers
also get a weekly email newsletter, Just the Right Stuff™,
containing links to the Top 10 Must Read articles needed to
stay current. These and other CTOMentor services will let you
Burn Your Inbox™.
As part of its launch, CTOMentor is offering a two-part white
paper on peer-to-peer technology: Peer-to-Peer Computing
and Business Networks: More Than Meets the Ear. Part 1,
What is P2P?, is available for free on the CTOMentor
Part 2, How Are Businesses Using P2P?, is available for $50.
- "Won't You
Sign In Stranger?": The US digital
signature law goes into effect this weekend. Have you got your
digital sig yet? The idea sounds great, but it could be costly
to implement. Perhaps you'd like to combine it with the smart
card in your mouse pad.
- Stupid Name Alert From time to time,
I come upon really stupid names like WooDoggie or Google (c'mon,
I know they're popular, but Google?) I guess these folks want
to out Yahoo Yahoo. And maybe they have. (Not that there's anything
wrong with that!)
As a public service, I'll pass stupid names along in this
space. Today's candidate for Stupid Internet-Related Name
of the Year is: B2B-Hive, an Internet incubator apparently
for bees to bees. Perhaps an apiary lonely hearts club? OK,
it's maybe not as stupid as WooDoggie, but wait -- try going
to www.b2bhive.com. Guess what? That's not
them! It's a cybersquatter. You need to go to www.B2B-hive.com.
Now don't you think it's a lot stupider?
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About The Author
a New Service from StratVantage
Can’t Get Enough of ME?
In the unlikely event
that you want more of my opinions, I’ve started a Weblog. It’s the fashionable
thing for pundits to do, and I’m doing it too. A Weblog is a datestamped
collection of somewhat random thoughts and ideas assembled on a Web
page. If you’d like to subject the world to your thoughts, as I do,
you can create your own Weblog. You need to have a Web site that allows
you FTP access, and the free software from www.blogger.com.
This allows you to right click on a Web page and append your pithy thoughts
to your Weblog.
I’ve dubbed my Weblog
entries “Stratlets”, and they are available at www.stratvantage.com/stratlets/.
Let me know what you think.
Also check out the TrendSpot for ranking of
the latest emerging trends.
14, 1928 - July 5, 2003
Jane C. Ellsworth
20, 1928 - July 20, 2003