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Be on the wave or under it
The News – 10/25/02
In this Issue:
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Recommended Reading
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I realize this is the
only newsletter you’ll ever need, but if you want more
in-depth detail, check out:
Stan Hustad’s
The Coaching Connection
Management Signature's
The Express Read
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Intertainer Sues to Stay Alive
The second part of the Why You Need to Get Hip to HIPAA
series will appear in a future SNS
Intertainer, whose
business model involves selling access to TV shows and movies
over the Internet, has sued AOL Time Warner, Sony, Universal
and their joint effort, Movielink.
The company claims the defendants, who control more than 50
percent of the theatrical motion picture business and more than
60 percent of the music business engaged in a “group boycott,”
refusing to license their movies to Intertainer to buy time
in launching rival Movielink. The suit also alleges that Warner
Bros. and New Line Cinema scrapped deals with Intertainer to
stymie Microsoft, an Intertainer investor.
Intertainer, which has shuttered its Website, provided 147,000
broadband users with 70,000 hours of programming from more than
70 content providers, including TV shows and current and older
movies. For a basic subscription price of $7.99 per month users
could watch older titles and TV shows. For an additional $3.99
apiece, users could watch new-release films on a pay-per-view
basis as many times as they like within a 24-hour time period.
The company has deals with cable providers such as Comcast and
Adelphia to offer their Video On Demand (VOD) service as an
add-on to digital cable services.
Intertainer paid the studios based on them making 200 films
a quarter available, but claims they actually were only providing
about 10.
I can understand the studios not wanting to be Napstered, and
certainly nobody wants to be Microsofted, but the main thing
to take away from these developments is that Hollywood will
be in control of VOD services. No others need apply. Intertainer
and others proved there was a market there. Now the gorillas
will grab it.
This scenario was predicted all the way back in 1991 at the
International Conference & Exposition on Multimedia and
CD-ROM I attended in San Francisco. There was a significant
presence from Hollywood at the keynotes, and one computer industry
speaker was asked by a studio suit what he thought the future
of multimedia was. "It pretty much depends on what you [in Hollywood]
want to do," he said. "So you tell me."
I guess he got told.
ZDNet
Briefly Noted
- Shameless Self-Promotion Dept.: Check out the article
I wrote for the Taylor Harkins newsletter entitled, Wherever they go, there you are about the wireless service
known as Short Messaging Service (SMS). The article points
out how marketers can use – carefully – this new way to contact
their customers.
I’m featured in Manyworlds’ Thought
Leader Showcase, which lists a few of the white papers
I’ve done.
Finally, the CTOMentor wireless white paper, You Can Take
It with You: Business Applications of Personal Wireless Devices,
is available at ITPapers.
-
Monet on the Money:
Alert SNS Reader and telecom expert Nick Stanley enjoyed
my analysis of Monet Networks and their budding 3G network:
Nice job on the review of Monet Networks
and their work in the “hinterland” as you put it. Their strategy
appears to avoid the big dogs of wireless while building up
their business and operational base. Personally, I hope they
make it happen...it remains to be seen if any one company can
build a truly national network, especially one devoted entirely
to data services. I could see Monet building a good, strong
brand by sticking to their strategy ... in some ways simulating
the successful Regional Local Exchange Carriers such as Alltel
and Century Tel. They can make a nice bit of coin doing what
they are doing, and staying away from the street fighting and
brass-knuckle politics of going up against the majors in the
big cities.
Put Monet down for a follow up in
your StratVantage Newsletter for this time next year.
I’ll definitely be keeping my eye on Monet
and other hinterland broadband efforts over the coming year.
NCS@lecoma.com
- FTTH Growth Thoars: Alert SNS Reader
Nick Stanley also sent along an article on Fiber To The Home
(FTTH), a topic covered in a previous
SNS. America’s Network calls FTTH “An area of communications
infrastructure where deployment rates will skyrocket over the
next 12 months.” The article quotes a study by market research
firm Render, Vanderslice & Associates that forecasts 330
percent growth between 2002 and 2003.
America’s
Network
- P2P Wireless Sniffer: One significant
security problem many enterprises are facing today is the proliferation
of unauthorized, and often poorly secured, wireless access points.
When any employee can pick up an AP at the local CompUSA or
Radio Shack and install it in their office, you can see why
companies are concerned.
IBM has a neat solution to finding these rogue APs. Rather than
providing a laptop-based sniffer that security personnel use
while roaming around offices, IBM uses network-connected and
wirelessly-enabled client computers to do the job. Each client
searches its local area for access points and reports its findings
back to a central database. Located APs are compared with a
list of authorized APs and rogue access points are thus identified.
This is a very cool application of peer-to-peer (P2P) technology.
IBM
- Tech Jobs Fell: A particularly poorly
kept secret is how badly the technology sector has been hit
by the recession. A study released by AeA, the nation’s largest
high-tech trade association, found that employment in the nation’s
high-tech industry fell by 113,000 jobs, or two percent, for
the first six months of 2002.
It might even be worse than that, according to Matt Noah, founder
of networking events company NetSuds. Noah said in his recent newsletter, “In the
last 2 years, I estimate 40-50% unemployment in the ‘com and
.com’ markets. [. . .] Locally, the trend seems to be complete
career changes. One NetSudser reports buying in to a kitchen
cabinet franchise. Others report going back for advanced degrees.
One went from founding a VOIP [Voice Over Internet Protocol]
security equipment firm to raising and selling buffalo meat
- www.purenaturemeats.com.”
You can do something about this trend by hiring me, of course!
Or you can go on to the next item . . .
MHTA
- The Triumph of Form Over Meaning: I
admit it. I’m a word guy. I’m a graphics illiterate. The way
graphics people think and communicate is foreign to me. Coming
from a different place, I always clash with designers. I feel
that Websites, for example, need to be useful, serviceable,
usable, and meaningful. They do not necessarily need to be pretty.
Consequently, I hate sites that open with a Macromedia Flash
animation. I can’t hit that Skip button fast enough. Well, here’s
a site that not only has no Skip button, but it gets aggressively
in your face and beats you over the head with its design-heavy
message. It’s been my poster site for the triumph of form over
meaning since I discovered it in 2000. I’d love to hear what
you think of it.
Balthaser
- Gartner Predicts: Here’s a site you’ll
want to bookmark and visit periodically. Gartner Group has released
their 10 predictions of trends that will affect enterprise businesses
over the next eight years. They range from the mundane to the
controversial. Here’s the list:
- Bandwidth becomes more cost effective
than computing
- Most major applications will be
interenterprise
- Macroeconomic boost from interenterprise
systems
- Successful firms in strong economy
lay off millions
- Continued consolidation of vendors
in many segments
- Moore's Law continues to hold true
through this decade
- Banks become primary provider
of presence services by 2007
- Business activity monitoring is
mainstream by 2007
- Business units, not IT, will make
most application decisions
- Pendulum swings back from centralized
to decentralized
- Weblogs and Amateur Publishing: Clay
Shirky is an insightful commentator on all things Internet.
In his latest newsletter, he discusses the impact that amateur
publishing efforts such as Weblogs, also known as blogs, will
have on traditional publishing. A blog is a way to publish journal-like
musings on the Web. You can get an idea of what they’re like
by visiting MIT’s Blogdex. The essay is well worth reading.
Shirky.com
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reserved.
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Alert SNS Reader Hall of Fame
About The Author
Announcing CTOMentor,
a New Service from StratVantage
Can’t Get Enough of ME?
In the unlikely event
that you want more of my opinions, I’ve started a Weblog. It’s the fashionable
thing for pundits to do, and I’m doing it too. A Weblog is a datestamped
collection of somewhat random thoughts and ideas assembled on a Web
page. If you’d like to subject the world to your thoughts, as I do,
you can create your own Weblog. You need to have a Web site that allows
you FTP access, and the free software from www.blogger.com.
This allows you to right click on a Web page and append your pithy thoughts
to your Weblog.
I’ve dubbed my Weblog
entries “Stratlets”, and they are available at www.stratvantage.com/stratlets/.
Let me know what you think.
Also check out the TrendSpot for ranking of
the latest emerging trends.
In Memoriam
Gerald
M. Ellsworth
March
14, 1928 - July 5, 2003
In Memoriam
Jane C. Ellsworth
July
20, 1928 - July 20, 2003
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